116d N47, pricing breakdown
E81 · 2009–2011 · Central EU · EUR · asking prices, not transaction prices
By facelift phase
| Phase | Years | Low (P10) | Average (median) | High (P90) | Good buy | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| pre Pre-facelift | 2009–2011 | €2,900 | €4,250 | €6,000 | €3,600 | illustrative |
Split at the facelift rather than by single year: that is where the market actually steps, and single-year granularity would imply precision this data doesn't have.
Distribution
What the good-buy figure means
The good buy sits near the 30th percentile of asking prices, above the distressed cars at the bottom of the band, below the median, conditional on the car passing this variant's must-check list. It's not the cheapest price.
Any car without documentation for rear timing chain failure should be priced as if that repair is still owed.
A car below the good-buy figure with a known repair still owed is priced correctly, not cheap. Deduct the repair before you call it a bargain. On this variant the two dearest single items are rear timing chain failure at €1,500–€2,500 and "lifetime" fluid neglect at €400–€2,500.
Enter an asking price to get a verdict against this variant's band: cheap, fair, good buy or overpriced.
What moves the price
| Factor | Effect |
|---|---|
| Manual gearbox | +3% to +8% |
| Documented rear timing chain failure repair | +14% to +20% |
| Documented "lifetime" fluid neglect repair | +14% to +20% |
| Full service history with receipts | +5% to +10% |
| Over 220,000 km | −12% to −20% |
| Under 120,000 km with history | +8% to +15% |
| No proof of rear timing chain failure | −€1,500 to −€2,500 flat |
| Unreverted tune or modification, no receipts | −8% to −18% |
Provenance
| Region | Central EU |
| Currency | EUR |
| Window | rolling 12 months to 2026-07 |
| Last updated | |
| Sample size | illustrative, no real sample behind these figures yet |
| Basis | asking prices, not transaction prices |
These numbers are generated from a documented placeholder model so the layout and the good-buy logic can be evaluated. They must be replaced with sourced market data before anyone treats them as guidance. See methodology.